Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004282 0.004703 0.005155 0.005679 0.006271 0.006920 0.007690
2025-09-14 0.003678 0.004280 0.004976 0.005846 0.006915 0.008194 0.009859
2025-09-21 0.003213 0.003877 0.004682 0.005740 0.007112 0.008856 0.011282
2025-09-28 0.002875 0.003568 0.004439 0.005630 0.007245 0.009403 0.012579
2025-10-05 0.002650 0.003370 0.004302 0.005622 0.007485 0.010088 0.014124
2025-10-12 0.002507 0.003259 0.004260 0.005726 0.007874 0.011007 0.016116
2025-10-19 0.002328 0.003082 0.004109 0.005654 0.007991 0.011526 0.017554
2025-10-26 0.002191 0.002949 0.004005 0.005634 0.008174 0.012153 0.019240
2025-11-02 0.002052 0.002802 0.003868 0.005548 0.008239 0.012592 0.020658
2025-11-09 0.001962 0.002718 0.003814 0.005581 0.008492 0.013358 0.022761
2025-11-16 0.001858 0.002607 0.003711 0.005526 0.008590 0.013866 0.024457
2025-11-23 0.001744 0.002474 0.003563 0.005387 0.008530 0.014083 0.025610
2025-11-30 0.001665 0.002391 0.003495 0.005379 0.008710 0.014782 0.027921
2025-12-07 0.001628 0.002372 0.003525 0.005540 0.009208 0.016149 0.031933
2025-12-14 0.001540 0.002267 0.003409 0.005440 0.009218 0.016563 0.033907
2025-12-21 0.001459 0.002169 0.003298 0.005337 0.009209 0.016938 0.035859
2025-12-28 0.001403 0.002107 0.003242 0.005330 0.009382 0.017707 0.038930
2026-01-04 0.001370 0.002081 0.003245 0.005427 0.009770 0.018988 0.043608
2026-01-11 0.001311 0.002008 0.003163 0.005360 0.009816 0.019518 0.046396
2026-01-18 0.001264 0.001953 0.003109 0.005341 0.009960 0.020288 0.050050
2026-01-25 0.001211 0.001884 0.003027 0.005261 0.009965 0.020730 0.052845
2026-02-01 0.001178 0.001850 0.003002 0.005292 0.010214 0.021797 0.057851
2026-02-08 0.001135 0.001795 0.002939 0.005240 0.010274 0.022405 0.061552